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To kick off the New Year, I thought it would be an opportune time to talk about investor behaviour and how it impacts investment decisions, especially those people who don’t have an adviser (which, of course, is none of you!).
Did you know there is a big difference between Investor returns and Investment returns? And unfortunately, the first one is seldom bigger than the second one. Let me explain.
Over the last ten years, ending 31st August 2023, $100,000 invested in the Australian Share Market would have made $121,651*. That’s a cumulative return of 122%!
Now, as you may know, when markets move, they tend to move quickly. Timing the market is virtually impossible (that’s a whole other subject). Let’s say someone was trying to time the market. They noticed on a given day that shares had jumped significantly. They were swift off the mark and invested the very next day. Let’s say they were equally quick each time the market had a significant jump, and as a result, they only missed ten of the best days in that whole ten-year period.
The result? They would have only made $42,093. Not being invested for those ten days cost them three times that amount! That’s a huge difference.
It gets worse. What if, as is quite possible, they missed the best forty days? They would have actually lost $29,597! In other words, their return would have been $151,248 less than what it would have been if they had just remained in the market.
Scary right? I don’t think so – it’s only scary if you’re one of ‘those’’ people. But you’re not. It’s actually very comforting. Because if you keep doing what you are already doing – what I have been telling you to do, and stay in the market, invested sensibly, you can get great returns.
Regardless of what happens this year in the markets, please be confident. There will be ups and downs, but over time, the ups will defeat the downs, and the good times will outnumber the bad.
*Source: Morningstar. Returns based on the S&P/ASX 300 Index, for a 10-year period ending 31 August 2023.
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